On 14 May my predictions for sub-tropical Queensland (St Lawrence to Longreach and south to the border) for June were:
Unsettled with several successive events for the next several weeks:
5-6-7-8-9-10-11, 13-14-15-16-17, 20-21-22-23, 27-28-29-30
There were weather events on 1-2 June, 7-8 June, 10-14 June, 17-18 June, 21-22 June, and rain and cold in the south east especially for the past several days. June 6 was a fail, but the others were pretty much on the money. In the south east it has been very unsettled.
Here’s a graph of Rain, and 3 day averages of Tmin, Tmax, and Pressure, with predictions and results shown.
For the first 6 months of this year, results are:
42 out of 45 correct- 3 wrong and 2 missed events. 93.3% of predictions were correct, and 89.4% of events were predicted. This system works, for the south east especially. The alternative method I used for Capricornia works, but with less accuracy (+/- 2 days) but is still worth pursuing.
My predictions for the next 3 months are:
Continuing instability especially in south-east Queensland! Weather events (not necessarily rain, but a wet winter and spring is likely) are expected on the days marked in bold, and in the range joined by hyphens:
2-3-4-5-6-7, 9-10–11-12-13, 15-16-17, 19-20-21-22, (24-25-26?) –27-28-29-30
1-2-3-4-5-6-7–8-9, 11-12–13-14, 15-16-17-18-19-20-21, 23-24-25, 27-28-29-30–31
1-2-3-4-5-6–7–8-9, 12-13–14-15, 18-19-20, 22-23-24-25-26-27-28
Those who doubt are welcome to make their own alternative predictions.
And incidentally, my method indicates weather events, probably storms, as far ahead as 6-7 December.