UAH v6.0 data for October were released on today. Here are updated graphs for various regions showing the furthest back one can go to show a zero or negative trend (less than +0.01C/ 100 years) in lower tropospheric temperatures. The strongest El Nino since 1997-98 has struck down its first victim! There is now NO pause in the Northern Hemisphere data. However, in some regions it has lengthened. Note: The satellite record commences in December 1978. The entire satellite record is 36 years and 11 months long.
[CLICK ON IMAGES TO ENLARGE]
Globe:
There has been zero trend for over half the record.
Northern Hemisphere:
It might be something I’m getting wrong in my calculations, but the Pause has suddenly disappeared.
The trend since December 1997 is +0.17C/ 100 years +/-0.1C.
Southern Hemisphere:
The Pause has extended by several months. For more than half the record the Southern Hemisphere has zero trend.
Tropics:
Unchanged from last month.
Tropical Oceans:
Unchanged from last month.
North Polar:
The Pause has lengthened by one month.
South Polar:
For the whole of the satellite record, the South Polar region has had zero or negative trend. So much for a fingerprint of warming due to the enhanced greenhouse effect being greater warming at the Poles!
Australia:
The Pause has lengthened by two months.
USA 49 states:
Four months shorter.
And now, in breaking news, for those who were waiting to hear whether satellite data confirm October 2015 as Australia’s hottest ever………
Sorry, but this October ranked 12th out of 37. It made the hottest third (just).
The Pause continues.
November 11, 2015 at 4:38 pm
Where is the Northern Hemisphere data?
November 11, 2015 at 4:59 pm
Here are the lot:
http://vortex.nsstc.uah.edu/data/msu/v6.0beta/tlt/uahncdc_lt_6.0beta3.txt
November 11, 2015 at 5:04 pm
There is positive trend for the whole NH record, which is odd, as there was 18 years and 2 months of zero trend last month. I’ll have a look at it some more.
November 12, 2015 at 3:13 am
The data has been Mannipulated to hide the decline, obviously.
November 11, 2015 at 6:55 pm
Reblogged this on Mbafn's Blog and commented:
I have seen the “Pause” today, when I stopped and looked at a coockaburra eating a little fish.
November 12, 2015 at 6:40 am
Have been watching the total Solar Irradiance for a long time since the sunspots went into decline. It has not dropped but has been high due to a lack of dark spots at cycle peak. This means the planet SHOULD have warmed. Your charts help to show it was not CO2 that caused the NH pause to dissappear because it is long in the tropics. So I suspect the NH warming has been caused by a reduction in convection there due to wind turbines. To me this seems the clearest proof yet that wind turbines cause global warming.
November 12, 2015 at 10:05 am
Although NH has +0.17C/100 yrs trend since December 1997, NH Land has had zero trend since March 2005, and NH Oceans since September 1996. If the October anomaly for 2015 had been just 0.06C less, at 0.58, the trend from December 1997 would have been +0.008, therefore Paused. Missed it by that much!
November 15, 2015 at 6:53 pm
That big NH change is strange. Yet the north polar pause has lengthened by one month?
November 15, 2015 at 10:01 pm
The End of the Pause could be premature. Give it another few months. If the UAH anomaly for the NH goes back down the pause will be back and longer than ever!
November 16, 2015 at 7:19 am
Atmospheric anomalies usually lag behind the El Nino peak by 5 to 7 months. UAH is likely to go up before it comes down. But it will come down later next year.
November 17, 2015 at 8:34 am
Last month, the northern hemisphere pause started very close to the December 1997 spike. When you are that close to the spike, there is little wiggle room so a higher October anomaly can easily wipe out the pause.
(P.S. Thank you for your graphs, of which I used one here: http://wattsupwiththat.com/2015/10/23/polar-puzzle-now-includes-august-data/)
November 17, 2015 at 4:59 pm
Thanks for that comment at WUWT, I saw it at the time. Disappearing pauses are interesting but not devastating. I fully expect all Pauses will be back in action later next year.
December 12, 2015 at 1:39 am
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